Questions

Every question in the panel, its category, and its resolution status.

QuestionCategoryResolution
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?geopoliticsOutcome: 1
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?techOutcome: 0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseelectionsNot yet resolved
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?techOutcome: 0
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?fedNot yet resolved
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?geopoliticsOutcome: 0
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?techNot yet resolved
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?electionsOutcome: 0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?geopoliticsNot yet resolved
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?cryptoOutcome: 1
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?fedOutcome: 0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?electionsNot yet resolved
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?geopoliticsNot yet resolved
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?geopoliticsOutcome: 1
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?cryptoNot yet resolved
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?techOutcome: 1
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?cryptoOutcome: 1
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?electionsOutcome: 1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?geopoliticsOutcome: 1
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?techOutcome: 0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?techOutcome: 1
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?fedOutcome: 0
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?geopoliticsOutcome: 1
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?techOutcome: 1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?geopoliticsOutcome: 1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?geopoliticsNot yet resolved
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?electionsOutcome: 1
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?techNot yet resolved
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?geopoliticsOutcome: 1
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fedOutcome: 1
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?techOutcome: 0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 1
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?electionsOutcome: 1
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?geopoliticsOutcome: 0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseelectionsNot yet resolved
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?geopoliticsOutcome: 0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?fedNot yet resolved
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?techOutcome: 0
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?fedOutcome: 0
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?fedNot yet resolved
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?fedOutcome: 0
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?sportsNot yet resolved
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?fedOutcome: 0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?geopoliticsNot yet resolved
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?techOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?geopoliticsOutcome: 1
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?geopoliticsNot yet resolved
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?techOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?cryptoOutcome: 1
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?cryptoOutcome: 1
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?cryptoOutcome: 1
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?electionsNot yet resolved
Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?geopoliticsOutcome: 0
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?fedOutcome: 1
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?geopoliticsNot yet resolved
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?fedNot yet resolved
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?fedNot yet resolved
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?electionsOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?cryptoOutcome: 0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?geopoliticsOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?cryptoOutcome: 1
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?cryptoOutcome: 0